Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.100966 0.155628 0.220207 0.299606 0.392426 0.495686 0.617567
2026-01-11 0.044161 0.109479 0.202789 0.332120 0.496625 0.691179 0.931950
2026-01-18 0.020817 0.085138 0.193366 0.356193 0.573950 0.840128 1.177483
2026-01-25 0.005966 0.059877 0.173069 0.359087 0.620158 0.948907 1.374202
2026-02-01 0.000026 0.033008 0.137899 0.332044 0.620533 0.995909 1.492158
2026-02-08 NaN 0.013763 0.103366 0.297154 0.603995 1.016944 1.574612
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005828 0.086288 0.286170 0.618199 1.075776 1.702678
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002711 0.079694 0.292116 0.656418 1.166082 1.870586
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000570 0.069649 0.288892 0.679326 1.234922 2.010526
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.055176 0.272579 0.679625 1.271443 2.107702
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.058863 0.297209 0.746157 1.400524 2.326450
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.062765 0.322442 0.813880 1.531576 2.548207
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.061238 0.335834 0.864696 1.642579 2.748812
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.068119 0.370645 0.952091 1.806598 3.021239
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.071280 0.396105 1.023895 1.948585 3.264605
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.065844 0.399187 1.058115 2.037372 3.437844
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.049810 0.370511 1.036838 2.046041 3.504051
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.033536 0.333427 0.997584 2.026699 3.531243
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.026550 0.321727 1.001656 2.069288 3.640733
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.024753 0.328062 1.038526 2.160248 3.815877
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.020850 0.324628 1.056828 2.223488 3.953317
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.014604 0.307233 1.047592 2.244959 4.033365
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.017323 0.333486 1.122540 2.393414 4.287796